Merhaba dostlar bu yazıda kullanılması en kolay borsa indikatörlerinden olan, Ema 20/50/100/200 günlük hareketli ortalama indikatörü hakkında konuşalım.
Kullanması basit kazanç sağlama potansiyeli bir hayli verimli olan bu indikatörü kullanarak, yatırım yaptığınız şirketlerin alım fırsatı için uygun yerde olup olmadığına çok kolay karar verebilirsiniz.
Teknik analiz bilgisi zayıf yada başlangıç seviyesinde olan yatırımcılar için bulunmaz nimet EMA Hareketli ortalama indikatörü.
Tanıdığım ilk günü, kendim için milat saydığım ve beni yatırım yapmaya teşvik eden, bir çoğumuzun twitter ve youtube den tanıdığı sevgili @karavandaborsa Necmettin hocam hiç bir şey bilmiyorsan hareketli ortalamaları takip et, bunu yaparak bile çok güzel kazanç sağlayacaksın der, gerçekten borsaya ilk adım attığım zamanlarda benim çok işime yaradı, kendisine tekrar sizlerin huzurunda da teşekkür ederim. 🙂
Necmettin hocamızın hareketli ortalamaları anlattığı çok güzel videosunu da sizlerle paylaşmak istedim.
Şimdi gelelim bir şirketin hareketli ortalamasına nasıl ve nerden bakarız, öncelikle TradingView piyasa takip uygulamasında ücretsiz üyelik açıyoruz. ücretsiz diyorum çünkü indikatör kullanmayı tam bilmeyenler için ücretsiz uygulamada izin verilen indikatör yeterli olacaktır.
TradingView hesabınızı açtınız ve araştırma yapacağınız şirketi de belirlediyseniz;
Şirket grafiğini gösteren ana sayfadaki, Gelişmiş grafikte daha fazlasını göstere tıklayarak şirketin grafiklerini daha net göreceksiniz.
üst panelde, göstergeler metrikler ve stratejiler sekmesinden arama yaparak, kullanmak istediğiniz EMA indikatörünü seçebilirsiniz. Ben genelde 20/50/100/200 günlük olanı kullanıyorum. Siz hangisi ile işlem yapmak isterseniz onu seçebilirsiniz.
EMA indikatörünü seçtikten sonra şirketlerinizin hareketli ortalamalarını izlemeye başlayabilirsiniz.
unutmayın EMA doğru şirketler üzerinde kullanılır ise kazanç elde ettirir, izlemeye yada yatırım yapmaya karar verdiğiniz şirket seçimi çok önemli, borsa piyasasında sığ yani yan tahta denilen şirketlerde işlem yapmaktan kaçının, bu tarz şirket analizlerinde değil EMA hareketli indikatörü en profesyonel kullanılan indikatörler bile fayda etmez. şimdi bir kaç örnek görsel üzerinden EMA hareketli ortalama indikatörünü test edelim.
Belirtmiştim şirket seçimi çok önemli diye, spaek bir tahta üzerinden(şirket ismi bilerek kapatıldı) EMA 20/50/100/200 hareketli ortalamasını gösterelim.
Bu tarz speak tahtalarda çok ani ve sert yukarı, aşağı hareketler olduğu için EMA hareketli ortalama indikatörü üzerinden sağlıklı analiz yapmak mümkün olmayacaktır. Gerçi bu şirkette hangi indikatör sağlıklı bilgi verir orası da kocaman bir soru işareti. Bu ve bunun gibi şirketlere yatırım yaparsanız borsa sizin için kumardan farksız olur, unutma ya tutarsa ile yatırım yapılmaz.
Görseldeki sert hareketler ortada bu şirketin namı değer tahtacısı pala amca ne isterse o olur, isterse yukarı isterse aşağıya sürer tahtayı.
Ülkemize sürekli katma değer kazandıran ve sürekli bacası tüten, gözümüz kapalı yatırım yapacağımız, iki iyi örnek şirket görseli üzerinden EMA 20/50/100/200 hareketli ortalaması ile analiz yapalım.
Ereğli EMA 20/50/100/200 Hareketli ortalama
Çok sevdiğimiz Necmettin hocamızın tabiri ile, şiir gibi bir tablo 🙂
evet arkadaşlar yatırım yapılan şirket seçiminin ne kadar önemli olduğunu gösteren şiir gibi bir grafik. yaptığı yatırımlar ve köklü geçmişi ile sürekli yukarı ivmeli bir büyüme….
Ereğli Görselinde EMA 20/50/100/200 Hareketli ortalaması bize
1 numarada hisse fiyatının 200 günlük hareketli ortalamaya geldiğini ve artık buralardan alım fırsatı verdiğini çok net görebiliriz. Buralardan alan bir yatırımcı kaç günde ne kadar kazanç elde etmiş onları aşağıdaki görselde inceleyeceğiz.
2 numarada ise hisse fiyatının 50 günlük hareketli ortalamaya geldiğini bize haber vermiş. buraları alım fırsatı olarak görenler ki benin için alım fırsatıdır. buradan alarak ne kadar kazanmış aşağıdaki görselde inceleyeceğiz.
3 numara bize hisse fiyatının tekrardan 50 günlük hareketli ortalamaya geldiğini haber vermiş. Bu fiyatları fırsat bilenlerin kazançları da aşağıdaki görselde. 🙂
Hadi şimdi Ereğli de en basit indikatör EMA 20/50/100/200 Hareketli ortalamasını takip ederek, fırsat olarak gördükleri yerlerden alım yaparak ne kadar kazanç elde etmişler beraber görelim.
1 numarada 200 günlük ortalamada alım yapan biri 55 günde % 50 kazanç elde etmiş.
2 numarada 50 günlük ortalamada alım yapan biri 31 günde % 14,59 kazanç elde etmiş.
3 numarada tekrar 50 günlük ortalamaya gelen hissede alım yapan biri şuan 38 günde % 44,67 kazanç elde etmiş.
evet hiç bir şey bilmeyen biri sadece hareketli ortalamaları takip ederek bile güzel kazançlar elde edebilir. bu ben söylemiyorum görsel ve rakamlar söylüyor.
bir diğer güzel örnek ise VESBE,
fazla detaya girmeyeceğim, şirket,
1 numarada 100 günlük hareketli ortalamasına gelmiş
2 numarada 50 günlük hareketli ortalamasına gelmiş
3 numarada ise 200 hareketli ortalamasına gelmiş
peki buraları alım fırsatı gören ve alım yapan ne kazanmış;
1 numara 100 günlük hareketli ortalamada alım yapan 44 günde % 60 kazanç
2 numara 50 günlük hareketli ortalamada alım yapan 46 günde % 5 kazanç
3 numara 200 günlük hareketli ortalamada alım yapan 39 günde % 52,90 kazanç elde etmiş.
Doğru şirket seçimini yaparak, borsa ve teknik analiz hakkında hiç bir bilgisi olmayan biri, sadece hareketli ortalamaları takip ederek güzel kazançlar elde edebilir, tabi ki sabırlı olursa.
yorum ve geri bildirimlerinizin benim için, çok önemli olduğunu bilmenizi isterim. lütfen düşüncelerinizi yorum yaparak belirtiniz.
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